After waiting many weeks to do the SQL server 2016 upgrade, I tried to do it this weekend, but unsuccessful. I am using the latest install guide released a couple days ago. During setup, the installer is supposed to let you select the instance of SQL server to upgrade, but this option is not listed and goes straight to install. It only installs SQL Browser and SQL Writer. The "Database Engine Services" and "SQL Client Connectivity SDK" are not installed; therefore, I only get 2 green checkmark vs 4 listed in the install guide. I then had to roll back my VM to before attempting to get my environment back up and running.
Originally Posted by cconrad@ac
If you're at all technically inclined you can do this update by yourself without IT. The recently published procedure is simpler and much less risky than the previous one. Significantly!!!.

You just need to be careful and use the new one..not the old prior one..some people downloaded the older one locally when the links were available and are not reading the instructions and are having problems. It's not that the old one was bad...it just did many more things that creates the opportunity for problems if the planets aren't all aligned and you can imagine what we have out there to deal with.